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And container docks are not stacked five high... 

and simple, routine tasks like getting gas for your car, going to the grocery store are now matters of public health that potentially put yourself at risk of exposure, then it is time to start paying attention.


This coronavirus can “be viable longer on a metal surface potentially up to three days and also on cardboard or paper where it’s a little more variable, somewhere perhaps up to 24 hours.   (think about mail and shipping boxes)     Definition of "contagion"
acontagious disease
bthe transmission of a disease by direct or indirect contact
c     a disease-producing agent (such as a virus)

way back in my Navy days (1960's) It was recommended using rubber gloves to retrieve mail and always washing hands and face with soap and water after looking through it... it is important not to touch your face during the process, and especially to cover your eyes when around or talking with people.
Lets talk zika  virus too

water virus influences
is mvsofea the lost ship?

DO WE ALL REMEMBER that really strong smelling and inexpensive aftershave splash from the 1950's ?  we are talking cheaper stuff than old spice, or Aqua Velva here ... still today (2020) ever so often an old piece of furniture, a family photo album or a Goodwill box reactivates that familiar (and offensive) smell... it was soo powerful and it attached itself to anything the user touched (all day long )... you could walk into a busy train station and know that uncle Bill is in here somewhere, and you had to "scrub" it out of existence after uncle bill left the house., but, it was hard to find... every so often you would get a whiff... and find a thumbprint or handprint as the source...sometimes you never found where the smell was coming from and it had to disseminate by itself with age.

 If covid19 had a smell the process would be similar but easier, and the weekend after uncle Bill was here and you found that last palm print on the back of the bathroom door, which finally removes the smell is too late.. how to stay updated For the latest news and data from affected countries, the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security offers daily recaps with case counts, travel restrictions, and a global map of confirmed outbreaks. Worldometer is aggregating global cases, while The New York Times has mapped all confirmed U.S. cases. hre in Oregon  the Oregon Health Authority, 

Some of you are already reporting what I see as happening here in Oregon perhaps 30-45 days from now, but this needs to be thought of globally, not locally.

In today's global economy the supply chain is complicated, but, the importance of farmers, fishermen, manufacturing, and processing starts the loop.  When any of the loop's fragile components are broken the entire house of cards collapses.  product needs to move not stagnate.

According to the U.S. Census Bureau, last year, China accounted for 88 percent of electric hand drill and saw imports, 87 percent of air conditioning machinery imports, 83 percent of hydraulic jacks and hoists, 72 percent for cell phones and parts, 58 percent of forklifts, and 51 percent of lithium-ion batteries. It is the end-goal of a deliberate strategy by the Chinese Communist Party, which also made biomedicine and high-end medical equipment a priority of its “Made in China 2025″ plan,”

The coronavirus has scared the entire planet because there was so little early information leaking out of China,-- once out, no clear or consistent reaction was taken by world governments until it was realized how fast this was spreading, and that there isn't a vaccine yet, by then it was too late, fear and panic set in.

Back in mid-November, you were reporting that there seemed to be some slow local store deliveries, and less container traffic, (which we now see as coming from missing manufacturing employee numbers in China), as the numbers of sick grew, and the plants closed, the truck/rail was stopped to contain the virus (further crippling the manufacturing in-out of materials needed to support manufacturing), the entire network became stalled.

Warehousing was full, so it took some time for the shut down to show up, but, when it began no one knew why.  By December the docks and truckers, longshoremen, rail workers and distributors were aware, and in trouble very quickly. The lack of product began to slow down ship building in Rijeka, auto assembly in Mexico, Aircraft maintenance, Janitorial supplies, food stuffs, on and on until by late December it was starting to cripple world industry.

As is typical, the man-on-the-street in America is occupied with western Christmas, New Years, SuperBowl, Impeachment and Income Tax prep, and oblivious to world affairs... Here in America, it is not until after 5 February that all of the events in China are realized, studied or addressed.

Let us "fast forward" to what this domino-effect has created... FEAR

Fear is primal and served us well as cave dwellers, and still serves us today. Adrenaline burns these memories deep into our brains, We have fears of pain, disease, injury, death, failure, all of which calls up our flight or fight system, but, we frequently follow whoever shows us a path, in this case, the WHO, the Government, and the State Health departments.

Once the "Truth" got out onto the street, all of the BS quit, and things started happening that impact the FINANCIAL.

To fully understand this, one can begin in many places, I am just going to jump in here at the gas station, I have a small 8 pump station that sells only gas and oil, I do well because I sell to the Post Office, the Restaurant supply grocer, Tourists, the two nearby car dealers and have the university and high school sports complexes almost next door.  All of my fuel/oil is American sourced.

They just announced the cancellation of the Men's and Women's Football , Basketball, and Hockey, Volleyball assemblies at both the high school and the University...due to the COVID-19.

The ticket averages $105.00 per game. Autzen Stadium holds 60,000 people.  $105.00 * 60,000 = $6,640,000.00  plus, 1 million per game in concessions, so, by canceling ALL of the sports gatherings there is over 800 million dollars missing in revenue !  the concession trucks and workers will not buy my fuel, the spectators will not buy my fuel, and the people visiting local restaurants will not buy my fuel.  the restaurants are all closed too, meaning the supplier is closed down, and all of those people are laid off (and not buying gas), there are no tourists, the auto dealership is down to two people, and ...
              reataraunt industry troubles
Ohio and Illinois close restaurants   and

when the theatres in Delhi, Maharashtra, Jammu and Kashmir, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Karnataka and Kerala have all shut down, and the Eiffel Tower and the Louvre are shut down,
some took offense at my"backward- Oregon" remark yesterday and called me on it.... here  is my response....

Italy: 250 People Die of Coronavirus in 24 Hours

Just when you thought it was safe to go to church, a concert, or a sports arena again, is there a COVID-20 coming? The virus has torn up the sporting and cultural calendar, with top-flight events from Broadway to English Premier League football scrapped, restaurants and hotels and museums, and banned public gatherings. closed the Eiffel Tower and the Louvre puts mostly everyone in a place to consider what events (all types) being closed down is costing, and how many people it is disrupting.   The losses are staggering and run down the chain clear to the bottom... Any forward-looking predictions are beyond foolish right now, and I've proven that to myself with all the false-starts I've made with this column.
I began writing it last Monday, and each day has brought a new revision as the world (including myself) became more and more sober about exactly what is happening, and what may come.
None of us are sure, and with every browser refresh comes a new piece of information that we have to try to integrate into our rapidly changing world view.
So while the life-span of news and analysis appears to be shortening, it's safe to say that some long-term impacts from coronavirus are becoming clear, and it doesn't look good for anybody.
Seafood, which is reliant on consumer spending and the free flow of trade, is going to be hit hard in particular.
Will the industry stop? No. People need to eat, and seafood remains a crucial part of the food supply. Exactly how it gets to consumer plates, however, is going to be radically reshaped.
What’s happened so far: Dining destinations are being forced to shift to takeout and delivery only -- or to shut down entirely.
What they’re asking for: They’re urging patrons to buy gift cards, reschedule reservations, and get that grub delivered. 
  • But the industry’s 15m+ workers are losing out on shifts and tips right now, and owners still have bills to pay.
What might happen next: Governments might have to step in to prevent widespread industry collapse. As Eater put it: “Restaurants Are F*cked -- Unless They Get a Bailout.”

Industry is coming back home. in a world where borders have been slammed closed, and  means a complete rethink of how seafood medicine, automobiles and EVERYTHING gets processed, and companies will want and need more control.
The investments in domestic (or nearby) processing will not be temporary, and a new level of conservatism about supply chains will be here for a long time to come.

Coronavirus is accelerating a change that was already underway: the decreasing dependence on China as the world's producer of anything...
Ironically, China's agressive measures to contain the virus will have it recovering long before the rest of the world, expect Americans to revolt, ignore, and sue any attempt at lock-down or control of the society, we simply are too unlearned to ever understand sacrifice.
While that will have China's consumer economy returning to "normal" sooner than others, the shock to the global flow of goods will shake a lot of companies to their knees: it no longer makes sense to put all your manufacturing and supply eggs in one basket.
Anti-globalists will force America to return the control of our patents, design staffs, and manufacturing to US soil.... count on it.... pharmaceuticals and medical technologies, automotive components, and anything warfare connected will be force back to North America... where we can at least invade to secure things.
What was once an interesting idea market (online sales), is going to become the norm.
Brick-and-mortar stores are in some cases experiencing a short-term uptick, but as Western minds marinate in the severity of the coronavirus crisis, being out in public (exposed),  online retailing is going to boom in an unprecedented way.
Once the supply chain begins to shift and consumers develop new online habits, they will never return to shopping in-store in the way they have.
A massive overhaul in how seafood is sold as well, from packaging to messaging to product forms.  Canned fish is having its moment in the sun. But if ever there were a short-term panic buy, it's canned tuna and salmon. Don't expect that trend to last, as an old Star-Kist veteran of the Tuna wars, fish is dead....
Foot traffic is already plummeting at virus fears spread, consumers that do shop brick-and-mortar stores will be looking for a lot less people to touch their food, bringing in closure of meat and seafood counters.
Pre-packed (frozen) meats and  fish will continue to deliver in a more reassuring way, by eliminating the "touching-coughing-sneezing-nose picking food service worker, gally cook, chef, or wait person...

It's hard to overstate the impact that the global shutdown will have on the restaurant, hospitality and institutional food business. Individual and small-chain restaurants operating on small profits cannot survive a six month slow/shut down...
Take out is a joke that will be figured out as "nasty" by the consumer (sooner or later), and food safety low volume selling going in/out/in/out of the reefer with reheat, cool down/ reheat could own will eventually poison customers (especially after being coughed into).
export sales will cease, the inward sales market will be very competitive, and companies will have to return to prices over volume sales.  I've been among the most negative on land-based aquaculture (salmon in particular), remember, we pioneered this industry back in the 1980's at our Tactician fisheries development Talapia farming in the Caribbean.... you know where that went....
But, there's no question that its a trend that won't go away; expect many new startups and high tech  projects, but health concerns and the lack of finances may end the dream.
Suddenly, producing fish domestically has become a far more interesting proposition. The proximity to markets is now a major asset -- not simply a justification for lower shipment costs. Any people or companies that failed to invest in digital tools -- from laptops to TV-systems to inter-company communications -- are realizing that they should never have put off spending their money on tech. or learning how to use it daiy.
I have been wrong more times than I can count with predictions over the years, and, I sincerely hope I am again, but even if we all beat this thing back in the next six months, life and commerce for the seafood sector will indeed change forever -- that I am sure of.