MAYDAY 2020 - REMEMBERING OUR GUESSTIMATE OF 1 MARCH....

MRS. MALLARD AND HER 12 BABIES IN TRAIN, MADE THEIR DEBUT THIS AM AROUND SO...FEA AND THEN SWAM MID RIVER BACK UPSTREAM OUT OF SIGHT.....


THIS SITE BEGAN OUR OWN OREGON COVID19 WATCH BACK ON 1 MARCH, 2020  (AS DAY ONE) OUR ORIGINAL ESTIMATES FOUND IN OUR DAILY POSTINGS ARE EXCERPTED AND REPOSTED HERE TODAY (OREGON DAY 60 OF COVID19) AS FOLLOWS: for the record
                                                            

1 MARCH TO 15 MAY GRAPH-CLIMB RATE CONTINUES UPWARD AT SAME DAILY RATE AND ANGLE TO PEAK ON 15-30 MAY AT AROUND 3,500 OREGON CASES AND 275 DEATHS, INFORMATION RELEASED TO THE PUBLIC IS FILTERED HEAVILY TO AVOID PANIC.

FROM 15-30 MAY TO 1 JULY THE GRAPH LEVELS OFF TO (HORIZONTAL) AND STAYS CONSTANT (NOT DROPPING, AT 75 CASES PER DAY), THIS IS A FALSE POSITIVE, BUT PRESSURES ILL-ADVISEDLY REOPEN BUSINESSES ANYWAY, SHORTAGES CAN NO LONGER BE EXCUSED AWAY, AND CASE NUMBERS CLIMB

LOOK FOR JUNE TO BE THE ABSOLUTE WORST FOR SUPPLIES, FOOD, FRUSTRATION, VIOLENCE, BANKRUPTCY, DEATHS AND SHORTAGES OF INVENTORY.

THE MONTH OF JULY SEES THE "FIRST" ACTUAL DOWNTURN IN CASE NUMBERS (SEEN ON THE GRAPH !!!)  SOME BUSINESSES NEVER REOPEN, THE ECONOMY SUFFERS, THE FINANCIAL STRESSES CREATE ACTIVISM FROM FINACIAL LOSS.

AUGUST 1-15 , ... IT IS "DETERMINED" TO BE SAFE TO BEGIN SOCIALIZING -ALMOST LIKE NORMAL-WITH BUSINESSES REOPENING...  (UNTIL 15-30 NOVEMBER).

BUT BY LATE NOVEMBER, THE COMBO OF FLU SEASON AND TOURIST INFLUXED NEW CORONA CASES RE-ENTER THE SCENE HEAVILY , CAUSING A VERY RAPID UPTICK IN CASES NUMBERS AND BACK TO 50-75 CASES A DAY (OR HIGHER)  LIKE IN MARCH-APRIL-MAY  (WAVE TWO).

ROUND TWO OF CORONA GETS VERY UGLY OVER THE WINTER IMPACTING MORE BUSINESSES, AND REPEATING THE MAY-JUNE-JULY ERA.

IN APRIL 2021 THE IMPACT OF THE NEW  COVID SHOT (RELEASED IN JANUARY) FINALLY BEGINS TO DIMINISH DAILY CASES... THE GRAPH BEGINS A SLOW DOWNWARD ANGLE .

BY JUNE 2021 SOCIETY IS MOSTLY BACK TO NORMAL. (EXCEPT FOR THE ECONOMY, BUSINESS, EMPLOYMENT AND SOCIAL DAMAGES)

NOTE: ALL OF THE DRY GOODS, CLEANING AND FOOD INVENTORY SHORTAGE PREDICTIONS AND TIMELINE GUESSES CAN BE FOUND IN THE DAILY POSTINGS (HERE) TEXTS ABOUT "ALL NEW"SHOCKING AND ASTOUNDING CDC SCIENTIFIC FINDINGS... LIKE WHERE BABIES COME FROM, AND HOW LICKING A PUBLIC TOILET LID COULD MAKE YOU SICK WILL BE INCLUDED HERE TOO.  LOGIC: NO TESTING, NO REPORTING, NO DATA, (AND DON'T TELL THE PUBLIC, IT WILL CREATE A PANIC) ... SIMPLY MEANS THERE IS NO VIRUS--WE DID NOT "KNOW", AND MORE